What’s your next big play?
Predicting the future and arguably the hardest play in business. Marketing is full of failed ‘new products’ that never took off in spite of the clever and careful planning of their promotions.
Dr. Simon Ramo and Dr. Donald Sugar, both successful high-tech business men offer a 4 measures system for improving the future of your business.
In their book, Strategic Business Forecasting (McGraw Hill 2009), the authors recommend you assign your ratings to rank a promising opportunity.
A. Probability - What is the likelihood a given event will occur?
B. Timing - When might that event occur? Today? Tomorrow? Next year? In the distant future?
C. Impact - To what extent will the event alter your organization?
D. Action Potential - How practical is it for you to act now in order to shape the future?
Assign numbers (1 to 10) to the four ratings (A, B, C, and D) and then add the scores.
The authors provide lots of vivid examples of the Four Measures system in practice.
In today’s roller coaster business world you need all the help you can to retire your predictions.
In the words of Yogi Berrq,
“the future ain’t what it used to be.”
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